Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +11 (82-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 34 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 27 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter