Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (82-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temeka Johnson * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 30 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Chante Black * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 29 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Amber Holt | 19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 36 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 28 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter