Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +3 (75-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 14 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 30 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter