Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -13 (44-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dieng * | 40 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | - |
| P. Siva * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Smith * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith | 17 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter