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2012-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -13 (44-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dieng * 40 2-5 1-1 0-0 9 0 3 7 1 5 18 -
P. Siva * 35 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 9 0 0 5 4 2 -
K. Kuric * 32 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
C. Behanan * 29 6-10 0-1 3-7 9 1 3 0 1 15 17 -
C. Smith * 28 3-7 3-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
R. Smith 17 3-10 2-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
J. Swopshire 11 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
W. Blackshear 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 37 5-16 1-7 2-2 16 2 1 2 6 13 12 -
A. Thornton * 35 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Appling * 32 1-6 1-2 3-4 1 4 2 1 4 6 4 -
B. Wood * 31 4-11 2-8 4-4 2 1 2 1 1 14 8 -
A. Payne * 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 1 4 6 -
T. Trice II 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 0 5 -
D. Nix 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
B. Kearney 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Byrd 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ianni 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gauna 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter