Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +4 (75-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 19 | 0-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -10 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 43 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter