Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Essence Carson | 27 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 37 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tan White | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter