Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (85-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Essence Carson | 27 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 37 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tan White | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter