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2012-08-18

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 34 6-11 1-2 4-5 3 5 2 0 3 17 13 -
N. Powell 31 4-12 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 10 4 -
P. Pierson 30 5-12 1-2 3-4 8 3 1 3 5 14 12 -
K. Vaughn 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
E. Carson 27 6-8 3-5 2-2 3 3 2 2 3 17 16 -
L. Mitchell 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 6 8 -
K. Braxton 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 2 -2 -
D. Walker 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
A. Montgomery 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 38 11-17 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 1 2 23 17 -
A. Hightower 33 6-13 2-5 6-6 0 3 2 0 1 20 11 -
M. Bass 32 4-8 0-0 3-4 4 3 1 2 3 11 10 -
K. Lawson 30 9-14 1-1 2-2 5 5 0 0 1 21 16 -
K. Greene 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 2 3 -
R. Montgomery 20 2-9 0-0 2-4 2 2 2 0 3 6 0 -
T. White 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 4 -
K. Griffin 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
D. McCray 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter