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2012-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% - โœ—
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ— (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (76-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erika de Souza * 34 9-17 0-0 1-2 6 1 4 2 2 19 13 -
Sancho Lyttle * 33 7-15 0-4 0-0 2 7 4 0 1 14 11 -
Angel McCoughtry * 33 8-16 2-6 7-7 8 6 5 2 5 25 25 -
Lindsey Harding * 33 6-13 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 4 15 7 -
Armintie Herrington * 30 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 7 4 -
Tiffany Hayes 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Aneika Morello 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ketia Swanier 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Epiphanny Prince * 28 5-11 4-8 2-5 3 3 3 1 3 16 12 -
Tamera Young * 26 3-12 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 6 -2 -
Sylvia Fowles * 25 3-5 0-0 7-8 6 0 2 2 2 13 16 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 6 0 -
Swin Cash * 20 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 9 3 -
Le'coe Willingham 26 4-5 2-2 1-1 2 4 0 0 2 11 10 -
Ticha Penicheiro 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
Shay Murphy 10 1-4 1-4 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 5 3 -
Carolyn Swords 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Sonja Petrovic 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Ruth Riley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter