Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (76-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika de Souza * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 33 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince * | 28 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 26 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 26 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter