Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +29 (98-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 24 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 21 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 22 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Monica Wright | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Amber Harris | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter