Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -10 (79-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 22 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 21 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Pedersen * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 25 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chante Black | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter