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2012-08-16

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 30 2-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Jasmine Thomas * 28 3-6 1-2 3-4 3 0 2 0 3 10 6 -
Michelle Snow * 20 4-7 0-1 3-3 7 1 2 0 2 11 12 -
Matee Ajavon * 20 3-9 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 7 -1 -
Monique Currie * 18 4-8 0-0 4-5 7 3 0 0 1 12 13 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 20 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
Noelle Quinn 17 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 8 9 -
Natasha Lacy 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
Natalie Novosel 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Shannon Bobbitt 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Ashley Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 29 6-15 0-3 2-2 14 3 3 3 1 14 21 -
Briann January * 27 3-10 3-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 9 2 -
Shavonte Zellous * 23 2-7 0-1 3-4 3 5 0 1 2 7 7 -
Katie Douglas * 19 4-13 2-7 1-1 1 0 2 0 1 11 0 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 3 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 1 0 5 8 -
Erlana Larkins 19 4-6 0-0 8-8 7 1 3 0 1 16 20 -
Erin Phillips 19 3-7 2-3 1-1 3 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
Sasha Goodlett 14 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 9 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
Jessica Davenport 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter