๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-03-20

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen Drexel Dragons Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 โœ— (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 37.9% 62.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—

Actual: Drexel Dragons -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Vinson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 2 3 18 26 -
J. Morgan * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 0 2 13 16 -
S. Carter * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 6 6 -
R. Putney * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Williams 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 20 29 -
J. Farrell 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 6 10 -
M. Esho 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 6 10 -
F. Riley 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drexel Dragons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frantz Massenat * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 2 3 16 26 -
Derrick Thomas * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 10 15 -
Daryl McCoy * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 6 15 -
Samme Givens * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 4 12 22 -
Damion Lee * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 4 7 -
Chris Fouch 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 7 -
Dartaye Ruffin 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 3 17 23 -
Goran Pantovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter