Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | +7.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +4 (92-88). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasson Randle * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Josh Owens * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jarrett Mann * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Zimmermann * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Bright | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 34 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Josh Huestis | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
* = starter