Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +9 (62-53). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 39 | 4-17 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ed Daniel * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Garrett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder * | 39 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Darius Johnson-Odom * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Junior Cadougan * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jamil Wilson * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vander Blue * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Todd Mayo | 25 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Davante Gardner | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Juan Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter