Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Schiffauer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Alton | 0 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Poole | 0 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Taylor | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Vails | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. Burke | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 0 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter