Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Taylor | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Vails | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Justice | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 0 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Burke | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Smith | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Siva * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 23 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Price | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter