Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Snell * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Walker | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| P. McDonald | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Fenton | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Justice | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Siva * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 23 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Price | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter