Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | +17.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +16 (87-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Allen * | 37 | 6-19 | 1-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -2 | - |
| Royce White * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Scott Christopherson * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Melvin Ejim * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chris Babb * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyrus McGee | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bubu Palo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Percy Gibson | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Booker | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 36 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 20 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Darius Miller | 35 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter