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Xavier Musketeers 67
@
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 63
2012-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - ✗
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 ✗ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - ✗
Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - ✓

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dez Wells * 39 3-6 1-2 7-11 11 1 1 0 0 14 21 -
Mark Lyons * 38 3-9 2-4 0-0 1 6 3 0 4 8 5 -
Tu Holloway * 36 10-15 2-4 3-4 2 2 1 1 5 25 11 -
Andre Walker * 31 1-1 0-0 6-10 6 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
Kenny Frease * 26 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Jeff Robinson 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Dee Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brad Redford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Travis Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Brooks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Scott Martin * 40 4-9 2-5 1-1 7 3 0 0 2 11 10 -
Jerian Grant * 40 4-13 3-6 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 11 7 -
Pat Connaughton * 34 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 7 -
Jack Cooley * 31 8-8 0-0 2-6 7 0 1 1 1 18 18 -
Eric Atkins * 29 2-7 2-4 1-2 2 2 3 0 4 7 3 -
Alex Dragicevich 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 1 -
Tom Knight 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter