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2012-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 37 4-10 0-1 4-6 16 1 1 2 5 12 17 -
N. Tomlinson * 36 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. Brown * 31 5-10 2-3 0-2 6 4 1 0 3 12 10 -
S. Dinwiddie * 26 1-2 0-0 7-11 6 1 1 1 4 9 12 -
A. Dufault * 24 5-11 3-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 14 10 -
A. Booker 24 5-9 2-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 4 16 7 -
S. Harris-Tunks 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
J. Adams 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
S. Chen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Marshall * 38 6-14 0-1 3-6 3 3 3 4 2 15 12 -
M. Moser * 35 4-15 2-7 0-0 9 1 6 3 3 10 11 -
O. Bellfield * 31 4-12 2-6 0-0 5 8 0 0 0 10 11 -
C. Stanback * 29 3-12 2-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 8 0 -
B. Massamba * 18 2-3 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Hawkins 27 3-8 3-8 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 0 0 3 6 -
K. Wallace 8 0-6 0-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
Q. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter