Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roberson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | - |
| N. Tomlinson * | 36 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Brown * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Dufault * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Booker | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Adams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Chen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Moser * | 35 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 27 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Wallace | 8 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter