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2012-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Lamar Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—

Actual: Lamar Cardinals -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 36 1-2 0-1 1-1 12 7 1 1 2 3 20 -
Sandro Carissimo * 35 3-8 1-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
Matt Glass * 29 5-12 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 11 0 -
Luke Apfeld * 18 3-11 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 7 4 -
Brendan Bald * 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Four McGlynn 27 5-9 3-5 5-6 3 3 0 0 0 18 15 -
Pat Bergmann 15 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
Clancy Rugg 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Josh Elbaum 7 0-0 0-0 3-5 1 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Ben Crenca 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Miles * 38 5-12 1-2 3-3 2 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
Mike James * 34 6-17 2-4 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 16 1 -
Devon Lamb * 33 4-8 0-1 8-9 6 0 1 0 0 16 15 -
Stan Brown * 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 13 0 0 1 0 6 15 -
Brandon Davis * 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Donley Minor 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
Charlie Harper 14 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Osas Ebomwonyi 11 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Nikko Acosta 6 0-1 0-0 0-3 3 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
Vincenzo Nelson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter