Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -11 (54-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Damour | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Augustus Gilchrist * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Victor Rudd * | 32 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Collins * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Hugh Robertson * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ron Anderson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jawanza Poland | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Blake Nash | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shaun Noriega | 4 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Filley | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Raffi Chalian | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harper Kamp * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jorge Gutierrez * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Allen Crabbe * | 37 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Justin Cobbs * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| David Kravish * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robert Thurman | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emerson Murray | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bak Bak | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Christian Behrens | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Powers | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter