Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -9 (75-84). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 32 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Aaron White * | 31 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Devyn Marble * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Eric May | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Josh Parker | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 12 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter