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Iowa Hawkeyes 84
@
Dayton Flyers 75
2012-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% - ✓
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - ✗
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% - ✗

Actual: Dayton Flyers -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 37 2-9 2-6 1-2 2 4 0 1 1 7 4 -
B. Cartwright * 35 1-4 0-1 3-4 4 11 0 1 2 5 15 -
Z. McCabe * 32 9-9 1-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 4 20 17 -
A. White * 31 10-15 1-3 4-4 11 2 0 0 0 25 23 -
D. Marble * 29 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 9 7 -
J. Oglesby 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Basabe 14 6-9 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 2 0 15 14 -
E. May 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Brommer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 37 7-14 4-6 5-6 5 6 2 0 3 23 19 -
P. Williams * 32 4-7 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 12 6 -
D. Oliver * 28 3-11 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
M. Kavanaugh * 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
C. Johnson * 24 3-8 0-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
J. Parker 25 3-10 2-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 9 -1 -
A. Gavrilovic 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
L. Fabrizius 12 0-6 0-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -
R. Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter