Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (96-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Carter * | 48 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - |
| C. Williams * | 47 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 42 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Putney * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 28 | - |
| J. Farrell | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| F. Riley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Esho | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 50 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 49 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 42 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Deville Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter