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2012-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Abreu * 38 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 10 0 0 3 4 8 -
Brian Walsh * 30 2-9 1-7 4-5 5 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Nikola Cvetinovic * 30 5-12 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
Zeke Marshall * 26 8-10 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 1 0 17 16 -
Chauncey Gilliam * 25 5-5 2-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
Quincy Diggs 26 6-13 3-5 3-4 6 3 1 0 1 18 14 -
Demetrius Treadwell 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Nick Harney 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 4 4 -
Brett McClanahan 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Shurna * 40 8-22 5-11 2-3 11 7 1 2 2 23 20 -
Drew Crawford * 36 10-15 3-7 4-5 7 4 1 0 1 27 23 -
Dave Sobolewski * 32 0-3 0-2 0-1 1 5 0 0 1 0 2 -
JerShon Cobb * 29 8-10 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 19 12 -
Reggie Hearn * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
Alex Marcotullio 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 3 1 0 3 7 -
Davide Curletti 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 0 3 -
Nick Fruendt 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter