Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| April Sykes | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Briann January * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 29 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter