Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 31 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Snow | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 28 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Lacy | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Novosel | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson | 34 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 32 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| A. Hightower | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. White | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Greene | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter