Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (85-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 31 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter