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2012-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 โœ— (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -11 (59-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Armintie Herrington * 35 6-10 0-1 1-2 5 3 2 0 1 13 12 -
Lindsey Harding * 33 6-13 2-4 1-2 4 5 5 0 2 15 14 -
Aneika Morello * 33 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 3 6 8 -
Sancho Lyttle * 32 10-19 0-4 1-1 2 0 2 0 0 21 6 -
Tiffany Hayes * 28 4-8 0-2 5-7 8 3 1 0 1 13 16 -
Yelena Leuchanka 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
Ketia Swanier 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Laurie Koehn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 34 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 5 10 -
Ewelina Kobryn * 30 3-10 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 7 -2 -
Tanisha Wright * 30 4-8 1-1 3-3 0 1 0 0 4 12 1 -
Katie Smith * 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 3 4 -
Camille Smith * 23 1-9 0-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 4 6 -4 -
Shekinna Stricklen 26 6-9 1-3 3-3 9 0 1 0 2 16 15 -
Alysha Clark 16 3-7 0-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 5 -

* = starter