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Ohio State Buckeyes 64
@
Michigan State Spartans 68
2012-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - ✓
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 11 15 -
Deshaun Thomas * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 11 19 -
Aaron Craft * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 3 0 2 10 23 -
L. Smith Jr. * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 14 -
Jared Sullinger * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 18 27 -
Shannon Scott 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Evan Ravenel 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Sam Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Amir Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 12 23 -
Keith Appling * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 4 11 -
Brandon Wood * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 21 23 -
Austin Thornton * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 8 14 -
Adreian Payne * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 2 6 13 -
Derrick Nix 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 10 16 -
Brandan Kearney 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Travis Trice 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 6 -

* = starter