Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (70-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tan White | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 19 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter