Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -21 (86-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 29 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 27 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Amber Harris | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temeka Johnson * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 30 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 22 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chante Black | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter