Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -21 (86-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 29 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 27 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Amber Harris | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temeka Johnson * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 30 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 22 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chante Black | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter