Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Prahalis * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nakia Sanford | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 30 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter