Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -13 (81-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 32 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 28 | 10-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 18 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 37 | 7-19 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 36 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 32 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter