Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +16 (79-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneika Morello * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 24 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 40 | 6-18 | 2-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| April Sykes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter