Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +16 (78-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temeka Johnson * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 18 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Chante Black | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter