Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.8% | 15.2% | -9.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (93-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry-Morello | 49 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 46 | 12-27 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 42 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Harding | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Herrington | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Koehn | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 48 | 8-28 | 3-7 | 8-11 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 18 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 43 | 9-22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 2 | - |
| C. Houston | 39 | 6-22 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 37 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Thomas | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Sanford | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter