Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 37 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Jones | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| K. Lawson | 32 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| A. Hightower | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 23 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. White | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. McCray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Moore | 30 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 28 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Wright | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Brunson | 18 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Harris | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Thorn | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter