Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (80-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 22 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Tan White | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 30 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 17 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 24 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Monica Wright | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amber Harris | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter