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2012-07-06

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 โœ— (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 37 8-20 0-3 3-3 5 3 4 1 4 19 8 -
E. Carson 36 7-20 0-2 0-0 11 2 1 0 3 14 5 -
Leilani Mitchell 35 4-11 2-6 2-3 2 4 1 1 3 12 6 -
N. Powell 29 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
D. Walker 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 3 2 2 5 -
K. Braxton 20 5-11 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
K. Cain 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Montgomery 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Redmon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Vandersloot 35 2-10 0-3 2-8 7 8 1 2 3 6 11 -
T. Young 33 8-17 0-0 0-2 8 3 0 1 2 16 9 -
Sylvia Fowles 33 9-14 0-0 2-6 9 1 4 2 1 20 21 -
S. Cash 27 3-10 1-4 1-1 5 4 2 0 4 8 5 -
L. Willingham 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. Petrovic 17 0-3 0-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Riley 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 -
S. Murphy 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Swords 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
T. Penicheiro 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter