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Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Margin 31.7% 68.3% - โœ—
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.4% 66.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -5 (59-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Cappie Pondexter * 36 8-20 0-3 3-3 5 3 4 1 4 19 8 -
Essence Carson * 36 7-20 0-2 0-0 11 2 1 0 3 14 5 -
Leilani Mitchell * 35 4-11 2-6 2-3 2 4 1 1 3 12 6 -
Kara Braxton * 20 5-11 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
DeMya Walker * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 3 2 2 5 -
Nicole Powell 29 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
Kelley Cain 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Montgomery 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
Katelan Redmon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Courtney Vandersloot * 34 2-10 0-3 2-8 7 8 1 2 3 6 11 -
Tamera Young * 33 8-17 0-0 0-2 8 3 0 1 2 16 9 -
Sylvia Fowles * 32 9-14 0-0 2-6 9 1 4 2 1 20 21 -
Swin Cash * 27 3-10 1-4 1-1 5 4 2 0 4 8 5 -
Ruth Riley * 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 -
Le'coe Willingham 22 2-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Sonja Petrovic 16 0-3 0-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Shay Murphy 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Carolyn Swords 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
Ticha Penicheiro 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter