Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -5 (73-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 24 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter