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2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 โœ— (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves -8 (43-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 7 1 0 4 5 24 -
Sandro Carissimo * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 8 13 -
Matt Glass * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
Brendan Bald * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
Luke Apfeld * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Four McGlynn 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 14 15 -
Clancy Rugg 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Pat Bergmann 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ben Crenca 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Josh Elbaum 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 1 7 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dallis Joyner * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 10 -
Dave Coley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 10 11 -
Tommy Brenton * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 1 4 16 -
Bryan Dougher * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
Al Rapier * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 10 17 -
Marcus Rouse 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Anthony Jackson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
Leonard Hayes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Danny Carter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ron Bracey 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
Eric McAlister 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter