Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +1.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -6 (44-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dieng * | 40 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| P. Siva * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith | 18 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Justice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yancy Gates * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jaquon Parker * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cashmere Wright * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Dion Dixon * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Mbodj | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter