Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 8-24 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2 | - |
| L. Harding | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Murphy | 25 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Willingham | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Cash | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Young | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Riley | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Swords | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter