Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +2 (71-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 33 | 8-24 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 32 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter