Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +9 (93-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 22 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Monica Wright | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Amber Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 34 | 7-18 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 23 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter