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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 64
@
Long Beach State Beach 77
2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.6 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - ✓

Actual: Long Beach State Beach +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Orlando Johnson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 4 17 25 -
James Nunnally * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 0 4 17 25 -
Jaime Serna * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 7 16 -
Alan Williams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 13 23 -
T.J. Taylor * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keegan Hornbuckle 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Kyle Boswell 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Greg Somogyi 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 6 8 -
Christian Peterson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nate Garth 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Lewis Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ennis III * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 15 18 -
T.J. Robinson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 5 10 -
E. Dervisevic * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 2 1 1 2 18 -
C. Ware * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 4 33 38 -
E. Phelps * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
M. Caffey 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 6 13 -
P. Pappageorge 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 8 11 -
S. Starkey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Shepherd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter